Japanese population statistics before modern times
The Japanese population statistics before modern times settled a census of the Middle Ages of Japan and estimated population in the prehistoric age, the ancient times.
- A clause of the estimated local population historical about the world population statistics before modern times,
- About the Japanese population statistics of the Edo era a Japanese demographic clause of the Edo era,
- Just after the Meiji Restoration about the investigation population under the prefecture feudal clan prefecture Sanji system before the establishment of prefectures in place of feudal domains of Japan the Japanese demographic clause under the prefecture feudal clan prefecture Sanji system,
- After establishment of prefectures in place of feudal domains about a census of the Meiji, Taisho era period before the national census start in Japan and the estimated population the clause of the Japanese population statistics before the national census,
- About a city census before the Southwestern Rebellion of Japan and the estimated population the clause of the Japanese city population statistics before modern times,
I refer each.
Table of contents
Summary
It is said that the first Japanese house-to-house census-making of families was carried out for Emperor Sujin Era before A.D. Family register "Kogo age family register" and "庚寅年籍" of the whole country were made in the seventh century and followed until the early period of Heian era.
When the Edo era began, a religious sect census book system was passed. However, it is Yoshimune Tokugawa Era of the 18th century that a full-scale national census began.
By the estimate of the modern history demography researcher, the population of Japan is 4,500,000-6,500,000 people in the eighth century. As for what surpassed 10 million people, it is thought after 15 centuries in the latter period in the Middle Ages at the earliest. I increased rapidly in the 17th century when was in the first half of the Edo era and was stabilized in approximately 30 million people from the 18th to the 19th century.
The population that was listed in ancient documents
The ancient population of Japan begins for "Wei will Japan hearsay", and it is listed in various miscellaneous notes.
According to "Wei will Japan hearsay," it is said that I counted more than 159,000 houses in total in queendom of Queen Himiko of the third century other seven countries. It is said that the first Japanese house-to-house census-making of families was carried out according to "the Chronicles of Japan" in (B.C. 86) for Emperor Sujin 12 years. In addition, it is said that the national family register "Kogo age family register" was made for (Christian era 670 years) for Emperor Tenji nine years, but I am considered to have remained in grasp of the number of houses from the study of the narrow strip of wood with message. When "庚寅年籍" was made for (690 years) for Emperor Jitou four years, after that "六年一造" which remade a family register every six years began. However, the piece of the family register and partly local population count reach it now because measures to cancel in 30 years had their made family register stolen. Family register, taxation register 48 points in the Heian era in total remain in the family register in the Nara era in the Asuka era including the family register of the Shimousa country Katsushika county Oshima (721 years) town for part village, 筑紫国嶋郡川辺里, family register of 豊前国仲津郡丁里, Yoro five years in 美濃国加毛郡半布里 of (702 years), county spring between the Mino country bee for Daiho two years for Daiho two years when the oldest family register to exist was saved as a document on the reverse side of the paper of Shoso-in, and the constitution of a family, the servant is listed [1].
改籍 was carried out until the early period of Heian era, but making of family register in itself by the whole country unit was not performed by retreat of the Law Code system and establishment of the manorialism by the influential noble. It is the family register of the county Nyuno existing last town in Sanuki National University where the ancient family register book was made in (1004) in the generosity first year. Although I can judge from the existence of the rule in the family register in the Code of the Trial, through the Kamakura era, the Muromachi era, historical materials do not remain in a thing of the family register resemblance having been made in a provincial government land and the manor inside at all. When it is the age of civil strife, some war-torn country daimyos come to carry out a census of the within the territory from a purpose of agrarian soldier mobilization and the money levy grasp, and, for example, "the taking the census out of the court noble's domain" of Mr. back north article is known. Or Hideyoshi Toyotomi took out 人掃令 (1591) in (1592) in the Bunroku first year for Tensho era 19 years and gave it an order for a national-scale census for the purpose of number of the mobilization grasp for the Korea dispatch of troops. It is unknown, but it is thought that the house-to-house census-making of families that "人畜改" carried out in Hosokawa feudal clan territory (Ogura feudal clan, Kumamoto feudal clan) "棟付改" carried out in Tokushima feudal clan receives a life of Hideyoshi, and was carried out continued how much house-to-house census-making of families of this time was carried out. It is in the first half of the Edo era, and a certificating of conversion to Buddhism system and "a religious sect census" are established, and countries number of people investigation by Yoshimune Tokugawa will be carried out after (1721) for Kyoho six years by purposes of the Christian control.
As for the population of the Middle Ages, the total population of some generations is listed in the book of the Buddhist temple person concerned from the ancient times, but, not a number to be all worth trust, sex ratio is abnormal. Yoshikiyo Yokoyama (1879) thought that such a sex ratio was caused by having reported 課丁逃 れのために man in the disguise of a woman. [2]. On the other hand, a number of 49 and 8 million mentioned frequently is a number related to Buddhist Scriptures and, in Sawada I one (1927), points out that it is not real number that I raised from family registers [3].
The generation, the name of an era | The Christian era | The total number | Man | Woman | The source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emperor Sushun two years | 589 years | 3,931,152 | 910,420 | 3,017,033 | Prince Shotoku biography ("大日本国古来人口考" quotation) |
Prince Shotoku | 574–622 year | 5,030,950 | 1,914,020 | 3,116,930 | 太子伝抄 ("searching the old summary" quotation) |
4,988,842 | 1,994,008 | 2,994,834 | Crown Prince biography ("它山石初編" quotation) | ||
5,031,050 | 1,914,120 | 3,116,930 | 太子伝抄 ("它山石初編" quotation) | ||
In Prince Shotoku regency | 593–622 year | 4,969,890 | Note of 折焚柴, classified collection in book form popular thought | ||
Emperor Suiko period | 593–628 year | 4,969,000 | Merchant bottom of the bag payment | ||
4,990,000 | 両域人数考, 十玄遺稿 ("它山石初編" quotation) | ||||
4,969,899 | 皇風大意 | ||||
Yoro five years | 721 years | 4,584,893 | 1,904,082 | 2,590,811 | Description of line basis God of War behavior |
Emperor Shomu period | 724-748 years | 5 million | Line basis rules of poetry ("play Kyoto desultory essay" quotation) | ||
4,276,800 | 1,954,800 | 2,322,000 | Figure of Japanese Kuniyuki | ||
4,899,648 | 1,994,828 | 2,904,820 | Figure of Fuso Kuniyuki | ||
11,099,648 | 9,094,828 | 2,004,820 | 南贍部州大日本国正統図 ("運歩色葉集" quotation) | ||
4,588,842 | 1,994,008 | 2,594,834 | 南贍部州大日本国正統図 ("運歩色葉集" quotation) | ||
4,899,620 | 1,994,800 | 2,904,820 | Figure of line basis Bodhisattva ("collection of characters quotation for common customs") | ||
8,631,074 | Note of 折焚柴, classified collection in book form popular thought | ||||
4,508,951 | Classified collection in book form popular thought | ||||
8 million | 十玄遺稿 ("它山石初編" quotation), 両域人数考 | ||||
8,631,000 | Merchant bottom of the bag payment | ||||
8,631,770 | 皇風大意 | ||||
Koan two years | 1279 | 4,989,658 | 1,994,828 | 2,994,830 | Forefather literary remains record |
4,994,828 | Forefather literary remains record | ||||
Koan three years | 1280 | 4,989,658 | 1,994,828 | 2,994,830 | Forefather literary remains record |
Koan four years | 1281 | 4,589,659 | Forefather literary remains record | ||
4,994,828 | Forefather literary remains record | ||||
4,589,658 | Forefather literary remains record | ||||
The Koan year | 1278-1287 years | 4,994,828 | 1,994,828 | 2,994,830 | Classified collection in book form popular thought |
Is it the Kamakura era? | 4,861,659 | 1,924,828 | 2,936,831 | Japanese sketchy description | |
Taiei era eight years | 1528 | 4,918,652 | 権少僧都俊貞雑記集 ("chestnut village teacher miscellanea" quotation) | ||
Eiroku era five years | 1562 | 4,994,800 | 1,994,828 | 2,994,830 | Katori document |
A population prediction and grounds by the researcher
The estimate of the population before modern times of Japan began to astronomers such as Dochi Nishi or Hakuseki Arai, a Confucianism person, a scholar of ancient Japanese thought and culture, and Hidenori Inou, Yoshikiyo Yokoyama, garfish let droppers, Togo Yoshida calculated it as a test the Meiji period later. I gathered up estimated population of the Law Code era with Sawada I one of the mathematician running by the minute consideration of ancient documents in the Heian era from the Nara era early in the Showa era. There are Eijiro Honjo, Bonsen Takahashi, the study of Naotaro Sekiyama and others, and there is the study of Akira Hayami and Hiroshi Kito and others recently afterwards about William Wayne F squirrel (William Wayne Farris), the Edo era about Genichi Kamata, Kamakura, the Muromachi era about Shuzo Koyama, the Law Code era about the prehistoric age.
As for these estimated population, it was calculated a model based on the number of houses, county volost number, the number of the field products, section even number ("律書残篇" "和名類聚抄" "拾芥抄" "history of Soong day main biography" land ledger), a fief (land survey conducted by Toyotomi Hideyoshi total fief of "sky Masaki" "description of current master of a home" mention), the number of the loaning rice (Konin type, Engi era-style fixed national tax book) or the number of remains. I settle the estimated population by the recent researcher of Japan as follows. As for population of Japan having surpassed 10 million people according to this, it is thought after 15 centuries in the latter period in the Middle Ages at the earliest.
The Christian era | Institute For Social Engineering (1974) | McEvedy & Jones (1978) | Hiroshi Kito (1996) | Biraben (1993 2005) | Farris (2006 2009) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
B.C. 6100 | 20,100 | ||||
B.C. 3200 | 105,500 | ||||
B.C. 2300 | 261,300 | ||||
B.C. 1300 | 160,300 | ||||
B.C. 900 | 75,800 | ||||
B.C. 400 | 30,000 | 100,000 | |||
B.C. 300 | 150,000 | ||||
B.C. 200 | 100,000 | 200,000 | |||
The Akimoto first year | 300,000 | 300,000 | |||
200 years | 700,000 | 594,900 | 500,000 | ||
300 years | 600,000 | ||||
400 years | 1,500,000 | 1,500,000 | |||
500 years | 2 million | ||||
600 years | 3 million | 4 million | |||
700 years | 5,230,000 | 5 million | |||
725 years | 4,512,200 | ||||
730 years | 5,800,000– 6,400,000 | ||||
750 years | 5,600,000 | ||||
800 years | 4 million | 5,506,200 | 6 million | ||
900 years | 5,999,900 | 6,441,400 | 7 million | ||
950 years | 7,450,000 | 4,400,000– 5,600,000 | |||
1,000 years | 4,500,000 | 7 million | |||
1100 | 6,963,700 | 5,750,000 | 7 million | ||
1150 | 6,836,900 | 7 million | 5,500,000– 6,300,000 | ||
1200 | 7,500,000 | 6 million | |||
1250 | 6 million | ||||
1280 | 5,700,000– 6,200,000 | ||||
1300 | 8,180,000 | 9,750,000 | 7 million | ||
1340 | 7 million | ||||
1400 | 8,907,400 | 12,500,000 | 8 million | ||
1450 | 8,500,000 | 9,600,000– 10,500,000 | |||
1480 | 8 million | ||||
1500 | 9,530,000 | 17 million | 8 million | ||
1550 | 10,290,100 | ||||
1570 | 12 million | ||||
1600 | 12,273,000 | 22 million | 12,273,000 | 12 million | 15 million– 17 million |
1650 | 17,497,900 | 25 million | 17,497,900 | ||
1700 | 28,287,200 | 29 million | 28,287,200 | 28 million | |
1721 | 31,277,900 | 31,278,500 | 30,496,900 | 31,300,000 | |
1750 | 31,005,900 | 29 million | 31,010,800 | 30,323,900 |
- Grounds of the population estimate
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- The whole
- It is still written Takahiko Furuta, Mimura by Hitoshi Sakai, Tadashi Yamaguchi, Hiroshi Kito, Hiroshi Haga and others, and, among upper tables, the estimated population of Institute For Social Engineering (1974) causes the revised edition of Hiroshi Kito (1996).
- The estimated population of handbill Ben (Jean-Noël Biraben) (1993) depends on Jean = Noel in Akira Hayami (1987) [10] and Francine Herail (Francine Hérail) (1990) [11] and follows Sawada I one (1927), Institute For Social Engineering (1974), the study of Akira Hayami and others.
- One Colin マッケヴェディ (the estimated population of) depends on) [12] in Irene toy bar (Irene B. Taeuber) (1958 in Colin McEvedy and Richard Jones (Richard Jones) (1978, but I interpolate estimate population [13] [2] by) substantially in Yoshikiyo Yokoyama (1879 and estimate population, and a study of) is not reflected in Sawada I best (1927.
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Estimated population [2] of Heian era - Kamakura era by Yoshikiyo Yokoyama (1879) The Christian era Estimated population Grounds 823 years 3,694,331 Dazaifu pipe Tsumoru Uchida (65,677) X of "classified collection in book form Itaru Sandai" mention
"和名類聚抄" mention volost number ratio (3762/506) *7.5 [14]859 through 922 3,762,000 "和名類聚抄" mention towns number (3762) *1,000 [14] of the whole country 947 through 1003 4,416,650 *5 section even number (883,329) of "history of Soong day main biography" mention 1185 through 1333 9,750,000 "拾芥抄" *750 mention town number (more than 13,000)
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- Mainly on the estimated population of Hiroshi Kito (1996) and the F squirrel (2006,2009 year), I enumerate the grounds of the estimate as follows.
- The Old Stone Age・Jomon period・Yayoi period
- The estimated population of Hiroshi Kito depends on Shuzo Koyama (1978,1983 year) [15]. In other words, I am gathered up like a "national remains map" table to show to the estimate population according to the area when I divide the number of the remains according to the metropolis and districts of mention in two [16] according to an area, the generation. During the period when each time occupied it, it was estimated with around 1,000 years except an early stage in Jomon period for 2,000 years. In addition, the estimated accommodation population ratio per remains in the Kanto district was calculated with 0.1-0.26 (mean about 1/7) for remains 1 which produced unglazed earthenware used until the third to the thirteenth century after the middle in 0.2-0.43 (mean about 1/3), Jomon period in Yayoi period and supposed the remains scale in the early stage with 1/10 in Jomon period. 24, a period are double, and the estimate population in Yayoi period is calculated with 20,100, 105,500, 261,300, 160,300, 75,800, 594,900 to the number of the remains to the number of the remains than the ratio of estimated a population of 943,300 people [3] and number of the remains producing the unglazed earthenware in the Kanto district (5,549 places) of the Kanto district of the Nara era to depend on Sawada I one each in the close in the latter period at the middle in the first half year in an early stage in Jomon period about 56, the Jomon period after the middle about the Yayoi period by doing the value that multiplied 8 by the number of the remains about the early stage in Jomon period to cross it with the estimate population in each time.
- On the other hand, in the remains of the Old Stone Age when the periodization becomes clear, in 125 places of remains for the microlith period, as for the number of the remains for the blade period, 317 places, the remains of the Old point earthenware vessel are 28 places for 2,530 places of early remains in Jomon. Because 10 times length continued in an early stage in Jomon period in the Old Stone Age of the blade period, Shuzo Ogawa (1989) estimated population of the Old Stone Age of the blade period with 2,600 (2000-3000). [17]
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- The early period of Nara era - Heian era
- The estimated population of 725 years of Hiroshi Kito depends on Genichi Kamata (1984) [18]. In other words, I do the value that multiplied number of the "和名類聚抄" mention towns (4041) by estimated good citizens a population of 1,052 people per 1 volost with government grasp population (4,251,100) and add lowly people population (4.4% of good citizens population, 187,050) and estimate population (74,000) of Heijokyo by Toshio Kishi [19] and calculate it with 4,512,200. The calculation method of Naoko is a thing proposed by Yoshikiyo Yokoyama (1879) [14], but, in Sawada I one (1927), I doubt number of the "和名類聚抄" mention towns (4041) and pay my attention to 3772 "main biography mention towns 414 Station on a history of Soong day" and calculate estimated a population of 5,770,000 in the Nara era for 200,000 with 1,399, estimate population of Heijokyo with half town equivalency, the estimate population per 1 town at 1 Station [3].
- The estimated population of 730 years of the F squirrel depends on similar technique of Sawada I one and Genichi Kamata (1984). I multiply estimated a population of 1250-1400 people per 1 volost by "律書残篇" mention town number (4012) and calculate 5,800,000-6,400,000 people as city a population of 150,000 people (Heijokyo, Namba, the total of the Dazaifu), outside a population of 100,000 people in total.
- The estimated population of 800 years of Hiroshi Kito depends on Sawada I one [3]. Sawada I one multiplied the ratio (27.07 /1000 Konin loaning bunches or 21.98 /1000 Engi era loaning bunches) with the section even number (34,790) of Konin of the Michinoku by "Konin type" [20], the number of the loaning rice of "Engi era type" [21] and estimated the section even number of each former country and estimated the section even number population ratio (section even number 18.7 / a population of 100 people) in the late eighth century when I demanded it than a family register, taxation register fragmentary documents. In addition, in area near Kyoto, I supposed a rate of 課丁 to be half about Yamashiro, Yamato, Kawachi, Settsu (section even number 18.7 / a population of 200 people) and calculated all-out a population of 5,599,200 (Konin type) or 5,573,100 (Engi era type) by adding Tsushima, 多禰, Shima, estimate a population of 7,000 of Heijokyo, 3,700, 6,500, 200,000 and thought about 5,600,000 people who were the average of both with estimate good citizens population in the Nara era. Furthermore, I estimated 賤民 and omission population at 1 million people and estimated total population of the Nara era to be approximately 6,000,000-7,000,000 people.
- I point out that Motokazu Kamada should consider the Sawada I's best estimate population to be the thing in the peace early days [18], and Sawada I's best estimate population is treated as a thing for 800 years with the estimate population of Hiroshi Kito by the lacquered paper script which I wrote down the low-caste people population (224,000-244,000 people who added estimated a population of 32,000-53,000 people of the God seal door to 191,660 people, this the estimated total family register population of the Hitachi country) of the Hitachi country of (795 years) for Enryaku era four years excavated from the remains of fawn C of Ishioka-shi, Ibaraki excavated from 1979 through 1982. But I calculate Engi era-type mean estimate a population of 5,506,200 [22], the Konin era by assuming population of Heiankyo estimated a population of 120,000 people by Mitsuro Inoue.
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- The Heian era
- The estimated population of 900 years of Hiroshi Kito calculates 16% of population, estimate population of Heiankyo for 120,000 6 years old or older with 1.6tans (0.16), under 6 years old population at a distribution area about number of the field products (but I revise the number of the field products about Owari, Shima, the sun and assume it approximately 871,916 in the whole country) [23] of "和名類聚抄" mention per person.
- The estimated population of 950 years of the F squirrel revised technique of Hiroshi Kito (1996). In other words, estimated a population of 4,800,000 are calculated for 150,000 (100,000 Heiankyo) with 16% of population, city population 6 years old or older with a thing of the mid-tenth century and population less than 2.17tans, 6 years old per thought at a distribution area with the number of the field products of "和名類聚抄" mention [23]. In addition, the real cultivated land is only 75% of mention levels and estimate a population of 5,600,000 are calculated when I suppose that approximately 0.4 times of the population to be found was fed by other agriculture, hunting and do this with the upper limit estimate population of the F squirrel from the field product. On the other hand, the lower limit estimate population of the F squirrel depends on estimated population of (947 through 1003) in Tenryaku, the Choho year by Yoshikiyo Yokoyama (1879) [2].
- The estimated population of 1150 of Hiroshi Kito calculates 16% of population, estimate population of Heiankyo for 120,000 6 years old or older with 1.6tans, under 6 years old population at a distribution area about number of the field products (two steps of 926,466 towns) [23] of "拾芥抄" mention per person.
- The lower limit estimate population of 1150 of the F squirrel revised technique of Hiroshi Kito (1996). In other words, about the number of all estimated field products including the fields which are not listed in "拾芥抄" (956,558), estimated a population of 5,800,000 (5,500,000-6,100,000) are calculated for 200,000 (100,000 Heiankyo) with 16% of population, city population 6 years old or older with 1.975tans, under 6 years old population at a distribution area per person. On the other hand, it is only 75% of mention levels, and the upper limit estimate population of Farris calculates the real cultivated land with 6,100,000 (5,900,000-6,300,000) by supposing that approximately 0.4 times of the population to be found from the field product was fed by other agriculture, hunting.
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- Kamakura era - Muromachi era
- The estimated population of 1280 of the F squirrel depends on six Kyushu (Buzen, Hizen, Bungo, sun, Osumi, Satsuma), West Japan five (Wakasa, Tango, Tajima, Iwami, Awaji), Noto of "land ledger" mention, comparison of the number of the field products and the number of of Hitachi the field products according to the former country of "拾芥抄" mention. In other words, I calculate estimate population in 1280 with 5,700,000-6,200,000 that decreased slightly than upper limit estimate population (5,900,000-6,300,000) in 1150 by supposing that approximately 0.4 times of the population to be found from 200,000 (100,000 Heiankyo, 6, Kamakura all people), the field product with 16% of population, city population 6 years old or older with population less than 1.81tans, 6 years old at a distribution area per person was fed by other agriculture, hunting.
- The lower limit estimate population of 1450 of the F squirrel depends on a comparison of the soldier population. According to the description of "the finished associate Empress diary" of the finished, the feudal lords forces such as Sozen Yamana, Yoshitoo Hatakeyama have 325 horse men, the armed forces of 2,500 soldiers on foot on the average, and Ashikaga family to inherit the shogunate has the armed forces equivalent to 10 daimyos, and the total number of the soldier is calculated with 132,775-197,750 in the Japan whole land when I do the total number of the feudal lord with 37-60. The local estimated population becomes 9,200,000 people (7,400,000-11,000,000) than the soldier population ratio (alone a soldier in 56 people) of the Law Code era, and 9,600,000 are calculated by supposing a city population rate with 4% (400,000). 一方ファリスの上限推定人口1050万人は、長期に渡る一定の人口増加率(0.4%/年)の維持を仮定する斎藤修の未公表の研究(2000年)の引用による。 [24]
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- 安土桃山時代~江戸時代前期
- 吉田東伍は1人1石という仮定に基づいて1598年の慶長石高から1600年の推定人口を1850万人と見積もった[25]。これに対し速水融(1966年)は元和2年(1622年)の小倉藩の人畜改帳を元に1石0.28~0.44人と石/人比を訂正し、1600年の推定人口を622万~980万人と推定した。[26]
- 後に速水融(1973年)は太閤検地石高による推定人口を破棄し、江戸時代中期以降の幕府掌握人口から逆算して1600年の推定人口を求めた。即ち諏訪郡の人別改帳の研究などから150年で人口が3倍になる成長パターンを導き、1600年の推定人口を1230万人へ改訂した。[27]鬼頭宏の1600年から1750年までの推定人口は、速水融の学説をまとめたもので、江戸時代前半の人口成長パターンが150年間で3倍になるロジスティック関数によると仮定し(50年後に1.41倍、100年後に2.67倍、150年後に3倍)、寛延3年(1750年)の推定人口(江戸幕府調査人口に20%上乗せしたもの)から遡って計算している。その際全国を先進国(山城、大和、摂津、河内、和泉)、中進国(尾張、美濃、伊賀、伊勢、近江、丹波、播磨)、後進国(その他)に分類し、人口成長の開始期をそれぞれ1500年、1550年、1600年と仮定する。[5]
- 但し最近になって鬼頭宏(2000年)は速水融推計を過小とし、17世紀の人口増加率を0.58~0.65%/年に下方修正して1600年の推定人口を1432万~1547万人と上方修正している。また斎藤修(2000年)は1450~1600年以前の人口増加率を0.3%/年、1600~1721年の人口増加率を0.51%と仮定して、1600年の推定人口を1700万人と算出した。[24]ファリスの1600年の推定人口(1500万~1700万人)は、鬼頭宏(2000年)と斎藤修(2000年)の研究の折衷である。また藤野正三郎(2008年)は17世紀前半の大藩の人口増加率(0.4%)から1600年の推定人口を1940万人、1650年の人口を2365万人、1700年の人口を1700万人と算出した。[28]
地域別推定人口
小山修三(1978年,1984年)によって推定された縄文・弥生時代の地域別推定人口を、その推定の元となる遺跡数とともに以下の表にまとめる。
地域 | 縄文早期 (8100年前) | 縄文前期 (5200年前) | 縄文中期 (4300年前) | 縄文後期 (3300年前) | 縄文晩期 (2900年前) | Yayoi period (1800年前) | ||||||
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遺跡数 | Estimated population | 遺跡数 | Estimated population | 遺跡数 | Estimated population | 遺跡数 | Estimated population | 遺跡数 | Estimated population | 遺跡数 | Estimated population | |
東北[29] | 249 | 2,000 | 801 | 19,200 | 1,945 | 46,700 | 1,824 | 43,800 | 1,645 | 39,500 | 597 | 33,400 |
関東[29] | 1,213 | 9,700 | 1,782 | 42,800 | 3,977 | 95,400 | 2,148 | 51,600 | 321 | 7,700 | 1,768 | 99,000 |
北陸[29] | 52 | 400 | 175 | 4,200 | 1,026 | 24,600 | 654 | 15,700 | 214 | 5,140 | 370 | 20,700 |
中部[29] | 377 | 3,000 | 1,055 | 25,300 | 2,995 | 71,900 | 918 | 22,000 | 250 | 6,000 | 1,503 | 84,200 |
東海[29] | 278 | 2,200 | 209 | 5,000 | 550 | 13,200 | 317 | 7,600 | 275 | 6,600 | 987 | 55,300 |
近畿[29] | 35 | 300 | 72 | 1,700 | 118 | 2,800 | 183 | 4,400 | 88 | 2,100 | 1,934 | 108,300 |
中国[29] | 53 | 400 | 54 | 1,300 | 51 | 1,200 | 98 | 2,400 | 84 | 2,000 | 1,050 | 58,800 |
四国[29] | 30 | 200 | 18 | 400 | 10 | 200 | 111 | 2,700 | 21 | 500 | 538 | 30,100 |
九州[29] | 243 | 1,900 | 233 | 5,600 | 221 | 5,300 | 419 | 10,100 | 261 | 6,300 | 1,877 | 105,100 |
全国合計 (北海道・沖縄を除く) | 2,530 | 20,100 | 4,399 | 105,500 | 10,893 | 261,300 | 6,672 | 160,300 | 3,159 | 75,800 | 10,624 | 594,900 |
澤田吾一(1927年)と鬼頭宏(1996年)によって推定された古代・中世の旧国別人口を、その推定の元となる出挙稲数、郷数、田積数、石高などとともに以下の表にまとめる。澤田吾一の奈良時代の推定良民人口に関しては、『弘仁式』、『延喜式』双方の出挙稲数から推定された良民人口を掲載するが、『弘仁式』出挙稲数が欠落しているものに関しては『延喜式』の出挙稲数から推定された良民人口をイタリックで示す。この他、表に記載の出挙稲数、郷数、田積数のみから直接算出したものではない推定人口についてもイタリックで示す。本表では人口推定に慶長3年(1598年)の検地石高を用いていないが、参考までに記載する。鬼頭宏による1600年の推定人口の根拠となる寛延3年(1750年)の幕府の調査人口については本項の江戸時代の全国国別人口表を参照。旧国名は江戸時代以前の一般的な五畿七道の順に従い並べてあるが、各年次をクリックすることにより、人口順に並べ替えることができる。
旧国 | 『弘仁式』 出挙稲数 (束) | 『延喜式』 出挙稲数 (束) | 『和名抄』 郷数 | 『和名抄』 田積数 (町・歩) | "拾芥抄" 田積数 (町) | 慶長3年 石高 (石) | 725 years Estimated population (鬼頭宏) | The Nara era 推定良民人口 (弘仁式) (澤田吾一) | The Nara era 推定良民人口 (延喜式) (澤田吾一) | 800 years Estimated population (鬼頭宏) | 900 years Estimated population (鬼頭宏) | 1150 Estimated population (鬼頭宏) | 1600 Estimated population (鬼頭宏) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
畿内 | n.a. | 2,087,126 | 349 | 55,300.9 | 08552,383.7 | 1,413,895.10 | 457,300 | 463,600 | 463,600 | 583,600 | 520,900 | 499,800 | 2,284,600 |
山城 | n.a. | 424,070 | 78 | 8,961.7 | 2908,961.0 | 225,262.00 | 85,700 | 99,600 | 99,600 | 219,600 | 185,000 | 185,000 | 558,000 |
大和 | n.a. | 554,600 | 89 | 17,905.9 | 18017,005.7 | 448,945.50 | 171,700 | 330,300 | 330,300 | 130,300 | 129,800 | 123,300 | 399,400 |
河内 | n.a. | 400,954 | 80 | 11,338.4 | 16010,977.0 | 242,105.80 | 87,900 | 94,200 | 94,200 | 94,200 | 82,200 | 79,600 | 247,000 |
和泉 | n.a. | 227,500 | 24 | 4,569.6 | 3574,126.0 | 141,512.70 | 26,400 | 26,700 | 26,700 | 26,700 | 33,100 | 29,900 | 222,100 |
摂津 | n.a. | 480,000 | 78 | 12,525.0 | 17811,314.0 | 356,069.10 | 85,700 | 112,800 | 112,800 | 112,800 | 90,800 | 82,000 | 858,100 |
東海道 | n.a. | 10,640,176 | 1,009 | 213,501.2 | 237247,693.0 | 4,458,650.45 | 1,108,200 | 1,256,400 | 1,256,400 | 1,256,400 | 1,592,200 | 1,795,800 | 2,832,200 |
伊賀 | n.a. | 317,000 | 18 | 4,051.1 | 0414,055.0 | 100,000.00 | 19,800 | 37,300 | 37,300 | 37,300 | 29,400 | 29,400 | 51,600 |
伊勢 | n.a. | 926,000 | 94 | 18,130.6 | 24519,024.0 | 567,105.14 | 103,200 | 108,800 | 108,800 | 108,800 | 131,400 | 137,900 | 295,000 |
志摩 | n.a. | 1,700 | 14 | 124.0 | 0944,917.0 | 17,854.91 | 154,000 | 6,500 | 6,500 | 6,500 | 8,100 | 35,600 | 13,600 |
尾張 | n.a. | 472,000 | 69 | 6,820.7 | 31011,930.0 | 571,737.40 | 75,800 | 55,400 | 55,400 | 55,400 | 86,600 | 86,500 | 312,000 |
三河 | n.a. | 477,000 | 69 | 6,820.7 | 3107,054.0 | 290,715.00 | 75,800 | 56,000 | 56,000 | 56,000 | 49,500 | 51,100 | 167,700 |
遠江 | n.a. | 772,260 | 96 | 13,611.3 | 03512,967.0 | 255,160.00 | 105,400 | 90,800 | 90,800 | 90,800 | 98,700 | 94,000 | 133,500 |
駿河 | n.a. | 642,534 | 59 | 9,063.2 | 1659,797.0 | 150,000.00 | 64,800 | 75,500 | 75,500 | 75,500 | 65,700 | 71,000 | 125,500 |
甲斐 | n.a. | 584,800 | 31 | 12,249.9 | 25810,043.0 | 227,616.00 | 34,000 | 68,700 | 68,700 | 68,700 | 88,800 | 72,800 | 124,500 |
伊豆 | n.a. | 179,000 | 21 | 2,110.4 | 1122,814.0 | 69,832.00 | 23,100 | 21,000 | 21,000 | 21,000 | 15,300 | 20,400 | 42,000 |
相模 | n.a. | 868,120 | 67 | 11,236.1 | 09111,486.0 | 194,304.00 | 73,600 | 102,000 | 102,000 | 102,000 | 81,500 | 83,300 | 124,300 |
武蔵 | n.a. | 1,113,754 | 119 | 35,574.7 | 09651,540.0 | 667,126.00 | 130,700 | 130,900 | 130,900 | 130,900 | 257,900 | 373,700 | 708,500 |
安房 | n.a. | 342,000 | 32 | 4,335.8 | 0594,362.0 | 45,045.00 | 35,100 | 40,200 | 40,200 | 40,200 | 31,400 | 31,600 | 63,400 |
上総 | n.a. | 1,071,000 | 76 | 22,846.9 | 23522,666.0 | 378,892.00 | 83,500 | 125,800 | 125,800 | 125,800 | 165,600 | 164,300 | 181,400 |
下総 | n.a. | 1,027,000 | 91 | 26,432.6 | 23433,000.0 | 393,255.00 | 99,900 | 120,600 | 120,600 | 120,600 | 191,600 | 239,300 | 227,000 |
常陸 | n.a. | 1,846,000 | 153 | 40,092.6 | 11242,038.0 | 530,008.00 | 168,000 | 216,900 | 216,900 | 216,900 | 290,700 | 304,800 | 262,200 |
東山道 | 5,248,532 | 7,305,418 | 735 | 224,392.5 | 331223,248.5 | 4,623,098.80 | 807,200 | 888,400 | 858,400 | 873,400 | 1,626,800 | 1,618,500 | 2,460,700 |
近江 | 90,676 | 1,207,376 | 93 | 33,402.5 | 18433,450.0 | 775,379.00 | 102,100 | 141,900 | 141,900 | 141,900 | 242,200 | 242,500 | 324,400 |
美濃 | 877,000 | 880,000 | 131 | 14,823.1 | 06515,304.0 | 540,000.00 | 143,900 | 126,900 | 103,400 | 115,200 | 107,500 | 111,000 | 300,600 |
飛騨 | 105,000 | 106,000 | 13 | 6,615.7 | 0044,356.0 | 38,000.00 | 14,300 | 15,200 | 12,500 | 13,900 | 48,000 | 31,600 | 28,900 |
信濃 | 680,000 | 895,000 | 67 | 30,908.8 | 14030,520.0 | 408,358.00 | 73,600 | 98,400 | 105,100 | 101,800 | 224,100 | 221,300 | 274,700 |
上野 | 1,140,000 | 886,935 | 102 | 30,937.0 | 14428,453.0 | 496,377.00 | 112,000 | 165,000 | 104,200 | 134,600 | 224,300 | 206,300 | 230,400 |
下野 | 670,000 | 874,000 | 70 | 30,155.8 | 00427,460.0 | 374,083.80 | 76,900 | 97,000 | 102,700 | 99,900 | 218,600 | 199,100 | 221,700 |
陸奥 | 1,285,200 | 1,582,715 | 188 | 51,440.3 | 09945,077.0 | 1,672,806.00 | 206,500 | 186,000 | 186,000 | 186,000 | 372,900 | 326,800 | 734,400 |
出羽 | 400,656 | 873,392 | 71 | 26,109.2 | 05138,628.5 | 318,095.00 | 78,000 | 58,000 | 102,600 | 80,300 | 189,300 | 280,100 | 338,500 |
蝦夷・松前 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | 0 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | 7,100 |
北陸道 | 2,978,450 | 4,186,388 | 230 | 73,983.5 | 13597,737.0 | 1,938,079.28 | 252,600 | 431,000 | 491,800 | 461,400 | 536,400 | 708,600 | 864,200 |
若狭 | 200,000 | 241,000 | 21 | 3,077.4 | 0483,139.0 | 85,000.00 | 23,100 | 28,900 | 28,300 | 28,600 | 22,300 | 22,800 | 31,200 |
越前 | 1,095,000 | 1,028,000 | 55 | 12,066.0 | 00023,576.0 | 499,411.00 | 60,400 | 158,400 | 120,800 | 107,900 | 87,500 | 170,900 | 139,200 |
加賀[30] | 686,000 | 30 | 13,766.7 | 33412,536.0 | 355,570.00 | 32,900 | 80,600 | 72,000 | 99,800 | 90,900 | 81,000 | ||
能登 | 430,000 | 386,000 | 26 | 8,205.8 | 2368,479.0 | 210,000.00 | 28,600 | 62,200 | 45,300 | 53,800 | 59,500 | 61,500 | 63,100 |
越中 | 455,000 | 840,433 | 42 | 17,909.5 | 03021,399.0 | 380,298.28 | 46,100 | 65,900 | 98,700 | 82,300 | 129,800 | 155,100 | 125,400 |
越後 | 668,450 | 833,455 | 34 | 14,997.5 | 20723,738.0 | 390,770.00 | 37,300 | 96,800 | 97,900 | 97,400 | 108,700 | 172,100 | 388,100 |
佐渡 | 130,000 | 171,500 | 22 | 3,960.4 | 0004,870.0 | 17,030.00 | 24,200 | 18,800 | 20,200 | 19,500 | 28,700 | 35,300 | 36,200 |
山陰道 | 3,973,585 | 4,357,678 | 387 | 53,960.4 | 30756,457.0 | 981,753.00 | 425,000 | 575,100 | 512,100 | 543,600 | 391,200 | 409,300 | 567,900 |
丹波 | 668,585 | 664,000 | 68 | 10,666.0 | 26210,855.0 | 263,887.00 | 74,700 | 96,800 | 78,000 | 87,400 | 77,300 | 78,700 | 155,800 |
丹後 | 340,000 | 431,800 | 35 | 4,756.0 | 1555,537.0 | 110,784.00 | 38,400 | 49,200 | 50,700 | 50,000 | 34,500 | 40,100 | 53,800 |
但馬 | 720,000 | 740,000 | 59 | 7,555.8 | 0057,743.0 | 114,235.00 | 64,800 | 104,200 | 87,000 | 95,600 | 54,800 | 56,100 | 62,600 |
因幡 | 730,000 | 710,878 | 50 | 7,914.8 | 2088,016.0 | 88,500.00 | 54,900 | 105,600 | 83,600 | 94,600 | 57,400 | 58,100 | 50,000 |
伯耆 | 540,000 | 655,000 | 48 | 8,161.6 | 0888,842.0 | 100,947.00 | 52,700 | 78,200 | 77,000 | 77,600 | 59,200 | 64,100 | 56,300 |
出雲 | 570,000 | 695,000 | 78 | 9,435.8 | 2859,968.0 | 186,650.00 | 85,700 | 82,500 | 81,700 | 82,100 | 68,400 | 72,300 | 94,000 |
石見 | 340,000 | 391,000 | 37 | 4,884.9 | 0424,872.0 | 111,770.00 | 40,600 | 49,200 | 45,900 | 47,600 | 35,400 | 35,300 | 87,800 |
隠岐 | 65,000 | 70,000 | 12 | 585.2 | 342624.0 | 4,980.00 | 13,200 | 9,400 | 8,200 | 8,800 | 4,200 | 4,500 | 7,600 |
山陽道 | 4,723,300 | 5,869,640 | 498 | 84,946.1 | 08986,149.0 | 1,624,023.70 | 546,900 | 683,600 | 689,600 | 686,600 | 615,800 | 624,600 | 1,126,200 |
播磨 | 1,000,000 | 1,248,000 | 98 | 21,414.3 | 03621,236.0 | 358,534.00 | 107,600 | 144,700 | 146,600 | 145,700 | 155,300 | 154,000 | 311,000 |
美作 | 740,000 | 764,000 | 64 | 11,021.3 | 25611,616.0 | 186,018.70 | 70,300 | 107,100 | 89,800 | 98,500 | 79,900 | 84,200 | 70,100 |
備前 | 803,300 | 956,640 | 51 | 13,185.7 | 03213,206.0 | 223,762.00 | 56,000 | 116,300 | 112,400 | 114,400 | 95,600 | 95,700 | 129,200 |
備中 | 640,000 | 743,000 | 72 | 10,227.8 | 25210,883.0 | 176,929.00 | 79,100 | 92,600 | 87,300 | 90,000 | 74,200 | 78,900 | 127,800 |
備後 | 500,000 | 625,000 | 65 | 9,301.2 | 0469,298.0 | 186,150.00 | 71,400 | 72,400 | 73,400 | 72,900 | 67,400 | 67,400 | 122,700 |
安芸 | 410,000 | 612,000 | 63 | 7,357.8 | 0477,484.0 | 194,150.00 | 69,200 | 59,300 | 71,900 | 65,600 | 53,300 | 54,300 | 158,800 |
周防 | 360,000 | 560,000 | 45 | 7,834.3 | 2697,657.0 | 167,820.00 | 49,400 | 52,100 | 65,800 | 59,000 | 56,800 | 55,500 | 115,800 |
長門 | 270,000 | 361,000 | 40 | 4,603.4 | 2314,769.0 | 130,660.00 | 43,900 | 39,100 | 42,400 | 40,800 | 33,400 | 34,600 | 90,800 |
南海道 | 2,879,000 | 3,327,304 | 324 | 51,863.9 | 23554,175.0 | 1,079,754.00 | 355,800 | 416,600 | 390,800 | 403,700 | 376,000 | 392,800 | 871,100 |
紀伊 | 380,000 | 470,816 | 56 | 7,198.5 | 1007,119.0 | 243,550.00 | 61,500 | 55,000 | 55,300 | 55,200 | 52,200 | 51,600 | 203,300 |
淡路 | 85,000 | 126,800 | 17 | 2,650.9 | 1602,870.0 | 62,104.00 | 18,700 | 12,300 | 14,900 | 13,600 | 19,200 | 20,800 | 42,800 |
阿波 | 514,000 | 506,500 | 46 | 3,414.5 | 0555,245.0 | 183,500.00 | 50,500 | 74,400 | 59,500 | 67,000 | 24,800 | 38,000 | 134,800 |
讃岐 | 750,000 | 884,500 | 90 | 18,647.5 | 26617,943.0 | 126,200.00 | 98,800 | 108,500 | 103,900 | 106,200 | 135,200 | 130,100 | 142,900 |
伊予 | 740,000 | 810,000 | 72 | 13,501.4 | 00614,825.0 | 366,200.00 | 79,100 | 107,100 | 95,100 | 101,100 | 97,900 | 107,500 | 200,000 |
土佐 | 410,000 | 528,688 | 43 | 6,451.0 | 0086,173.0 | 98,200.00 | 47,200 | 59,300 | 62,100 | 60,700 | 46,800 | 44,800 | 147,300 |
西海道 | 4,621,000 | 5,990,581 | 509 | 104,848.0 | 000108,623.0 | 2,389,789.41 | 559,000 | 684,500 | 710,400 | 697,500 | 781,900 | 787,500 | 1,266,100 |
筑前 | 550,000 | 790,063 | 102 | 18,500.0 | 00019,765.0 | 335,695.00 | 112,000 | 85,400 | 92,900 | 89,200 | 134,100 | 143,300 | 122,800 |
筑後 | 520,000 | 623,581 | 54 | 12,800.0 | 00011,377.0 | 265,998.00 | 59,300 | 75,300 | 73,300 | 74,300 | 92,800 | 82,500 | 104,400 |
豊前 | 520,000 | 609,828 | 44 | 13,200.0 | 00013,221.0 | 140,000.00 | 47,200 | 75,300 | 71,600 | 73,500 | 95,700 | 95,900 | 97,100 |
豊後 | 570,000 | 743,842 | 99 | 7,500.0 | 0007,570.0 | 418,313.00 | 51,600 | 82,500 | 87,400 | 85,000 | 54,400 | 54,900 | 204,800 |
肥前 | 590,000 | 692,589 | 43 | 13,900.0 | 00013,462.0 | 309,935.00 | 48,300 | 85,400 | 81,400 | 83,400 | 100,800 | 97,600 | 253,200 |
肥後 | 1,230,000 | 1,579,117 | 47 | 23,500.0 | 00023,462.0 | 341,220.00 | 108,700 | 178,000 | 185,500 | 181,800 | 170,400 | 170,100 | 248,100 |
日向 | 330,000 | 373,101 | 28 | 4,800.0 | 0008,298.0 | 120,088.44 | 30,800 | 47,700 | 43,800 | 45,800 | 56,600 | 60,200 | 90,200 |
大隅 | 120,000 | 242,040 | 37 | 4,800.0 | 0004,707.0 | 175,057.23 | 40,600 | 17,400 | 28,400 | 24,800 | 34,800 | 34,100 | 52,600 |
薩摩 | 120,000 | 242,500 | 35 | 4,800.0 | 0005,521.0 | 283,482.74 | 38,400 | 17,400 | 28,500 | 23,000 | 34,800 | 40,000 | 77,700 |
壱岐 | 65,000 | 90,000 | 11 | 620.0 | 000620.0 | 0.00 | 12,100 | 9,400 | 10,600 | 10,000 | 4,500 | 4,500 | 9,300 |
対馬 | 3,920 | 3,920 | 9 | 428.0 | 000620.0 | 0.00 | 9,900 | 7,000 | 7,000 | 7,000 | 3,100 | 4,500 | 5,900 |
多禰[30] | 2,080 | 3,700 | |||||||||||
全国合計 (琉球を除く) | 24,423,867 | 43,764,311 | 4,041 | 862,796.8 | 339926,466.2 | 18,509,043.74 | 4,512,200 | 5,599,200 | 5,573,100 | 5,506,200 | 6,441,400 | 6,836,900 | 12,273,000 |
鬼頭宏(1996年)による1600年以前の国別推定人口を地域別にまとめると以下の通りである[7]。
地域 | 紀元前 6100年 | 紀元前 3200年 | 紀元前 2300年 | 紀元前 1300 | 紀元前 900 years | 200 years | 725 years | 800 years | 900 years | 1150 | 1600 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
北海道(蝦夷) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | 7,100 |
東奥羽(陸奥) | 1,700 | 14,300 | 32,400 | 36,100 | 27,500 | 28,700 | 206,500 | 186,000 | 372,900 | 326,800 | 734,400 |
西奥羽(出羽) | 300 | 4,900 | 14,300 | 7,700 | 12,000 | 4,700 | 78,000 | 80,300 | 189,300 | 280,100 | 338,500 |
北関東[31] | 2,500 | 12,600 | 23,900 | 16,800 | 3,900 | 39,300 | 356,900 | 451,400 | 733,600 | 710,100 | 714,300 |
南関東[31] | 7,200 | 30,200 | 71,500 | 34,800 | 3,800 | 59,700 | 422,800 | 519,500 | 728,100 | 892,100 | 1,304,600 |
北陸[31] | 400 | 4,200 | 24,600 | 15,700 | 5,100 | 20,700 | 252,600 | 461,400 | 536,400 | 708,600 | 864,200 |
東山[31] | 3,100 | 25,500 | 72,300 | 22,200 | 6,200 | 85,100 | 121,900 | 184,300 | 360,900 | 325,700 | 428,100 |
東海[31] | 2,100 | 4,800 | 12,800 | 7,400 | 6,400 | 54,400 | 488,700 | 413,900 | 423,200 | 434,000 | 1,081,300 |
畿内[31] | 100 | 400 | 400 | 1,100 | 800 | 30,200 | 457,300 | 583,600 | 520,900 | 499,800 | 2,284,600 |
畿内周辺[31] | 200 | 1,300 | 2,300 | 3,100 | 1,200 | 70,300 | 503,000 | 596,300 | 715,100 | 750,600 | 1,397,500 |
山陰[31] | 100 | 500 | 500 | 900 | 1,100 | 17,700 | 350,400 | 456,200 | 313,900 | 330,600 | 412,100 |
山陽[31] | 300 | 900 | 700 | 1,700 | 1,000 | 48,900 | 439,300 | 541,000 | 460,600 | 470,600 | 815,200 |
四国[31] | 200 | 400 | 200 | 2,700 | 500 | 30,100 | 275,700 | 335,000 | 304,600 | 320,300 | 625,000 |
北九州[31] | 800 | 1,400 | 1,400 | 2,400 | 3,000 | 40,500 | 340,500 | 422,300 | 485,400 | 483,100 | 797,500 |
南九州[31] | 1,100 | 4,200 | 3,900 | 7,700 | 3,300 | 64,600 | 218,600 | 275,200 | 296,500 | 304,400 | 468,600 |
全国合計 (蝦夷・琉球を除く) | 20,100 | 105,500 | 261,300 | 160,300 | 75,800 | 594,900 | 4,512,200 | 5,506,200 | 6,441,400 | 6,836,900 | 12,265,900 |
平均寿命
正倉院文書として残る飛鳥時代の古代籍帳に対して生命表の西モデルを適用することで、ファリス(1985年)は大宝2年(702年)の出生時平均余命(平均寿命)を28年~33年と推定している。[32]
地域 | 人数 | 性別 | 出生率, ‰ | 死亡率, ‰ | 出生時 平均余命, 年 | 乳幼児(5歳未満) 死亡率, ‰ | 満5歳時 平均余命, 年 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
美濃国 (味蜂間郡春部里, 本簀郡栗栖太里, 肩縣郡肩々里, 各牟郡中里, 山方郡三井田里, 加毛郡半布里, 未詳3戸) | 2,127 | 男女 | 51 | 40 | 27.8 | 534 | 36.6 |
美濃国加毛郡半布里 | 543 | 女子 | 50 | 36 | 28.8 | 555 | 35.6 |
537 | 男子 | 57 | 35 | 32.5 | 617 | 33.9 | |
北部九州 (筑前国嶋郡川辺里, 豊前国上三毛郡塔里, 豊前国上三毛郡加自久也里, 豊前国仲津郡丁里, 豊後国未詳1戸) | 321 | 男子 | 54 | 37 | 30.5 | 592 | 35.0 |
361 | 女子 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
ファリスは奈良時代の養老5年(721年)の下総国の諸戸籍、神亀3年(726年)と天平4年(732年)の山城国の計帳に対しても同様の生命表モデル計算を実施したが、有意の数字が得られていない。また平安時代以降は脱税目的のための男女比異常が見られるなど(例えば延喜8年(908年)の周防国玖珂郡玖珂郷の戸籍断簡によると、戸主秦人広本の家族構成は男8人女39人)、戸籍の内容の信頼性が落ちていく。[32]
このように16世紀以前の戸籍はほとんど史料が残っていないが、各地から出土した人骨の古人類学に基づく推定死亡年齢から平均余命を出す研究もなされている。例えば小林和正は、日本各地から出土した満15歳以上の人骨(推定満15歳未満の人骨は誤差が多いので除去)の平均死亡年齢を以下のように推定している。[33]
時代 | 満15歳以上人骨 平均死亡年齢, 歳 | 個体数 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
男子 | 女子 | 男子 | 女子 | |
Jomon period | 31.1 | 31.3 | 133 | 102 |
Yayoi period | 30.0 | 29.2 | 8 | 3 |
古墳時代 | 30.6 | 34.5 | 21 | 5 |
室町時代 (頭骨のみ) | 33.1 | 32.8 | 23 | 26 |
室町時代 (人骨) | 35.8 | 36.7 | 12 | 9 |
但し骨年齢推定法の改訂により、縄文時代の15歳時平均余命を男女平均16.2年から31.5年へ大幅に上方修正する長岡朋人らの研究もあり、正確な平均余命の推定は困難である[34]。
小林和正の研究による人骨の平均死亡年齢分布に対してワイスのモデル生命表を15歳未満に適応することにより、菱沼従尹は縄文時代、室町時代の出生時平均余命(平均寿命)を推定している。[35]他の研究者による推定平均寿命を含め、以下列挙する。
時代 | 出土場所 | 出生時 平均余命, 年 | 満1歳時 平均余命, 年 | 満5歳時 平均余命, 年 | 満6歳時 平均余命, 年 | 満10歳時 平均余命, 年 | 満12歳時 平均余命, 年 | 満15歳時 平均余命, 年 | 満20歳時 平均余命, 年 | 個体数 | The source | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
男子 | 女子 | 男子 | 女子 | 男子 | 女子 | 男子 | 女子 | 男子 | 女子 | 男子 | 女子 | 男子 | 女子 | 男子 | 女子 | ||||
Jomon period | 日本各地 | 14.6 | 14.6 | 21.9 | 22.0 | 20.5 | 20.7 | 16.1 | 16.3 | 12.6 | 13.1 | 235 | 菱沼従尹 (1978年)[35] | ||||||
Yayoi period | 北部九州 (金隈, 藤崎, 門田, 西平塚, 永岡, 栗山, 道場山, 原, 諸岡, 横隈狐塚, 隈) | 23.1 | 22.6 | 32.0 | 31.8 | 33.4 | 31.8 | 29.1 | 27.4 | 23.3 | 21.9 | 684 | 中橋孝博, 永井昌文 (1989年)[37] | ||||||
金隈 | 18.3 | 27.9 | 31.0 | 27.4 | 22.8 | 131 | |||||||||||||
横隈狐塚 | 28.3 | 36.3 | 36.6 | 31.9 | 25.7 | 115 | |||||||||||||
The Kamakura era | 由比ヶ浜南 | 24.0 | 15.6 | 18.0 | 12.7 | 14.6 | 260 | 長岡朋人, 平田和明, 大平里沙, 松浦秀治 (2006年)[36] | |||||||||||
鎌倉・室町時代 | 吉母浜 | 20.6 | 107 | 中橋孝博, 永井昌文 (1989年)[37] | |||||||||||||||
The Muromachi era (太田道灌治世) | 東京駅前広場 | 15.2 | 23.1 | 22.2 | 17.7 | 15.9 | 70 | 菱沼従尹 (1978年)[35] |
脚注
- ^ 岸俊男, 『日本古代籍帳の研究』, 塙書房, 1973.
- ^ a b c d 横山由清, 『本朝古来戸口考』, 1879.
- ^ a b c d e 澤田吾一, 『奈良朝時代民政経済の数的研究』, 冨山房, 1927.
- ^ 男女の人口の合計が総人口と合わない場合があるが、原文儘を優先した。
- ^ a b 社会工学研究所編, 『日本列島における人口分布の長期時系列的分析:時系列推計と要因分析』, 社会工学研究所, 1974.
- ^ Colin McEvedy and Richard Jones, "Atlas of World Population History," Facts on File, New York, 1978.
- ^ a b c d (a) 鬼頭宏, 「明治以前日本の地域人口」『上智経済論集』41巻 (1-2号), pp. 65–79 (1996). (b) 鬼頭宏, 『人口から読む日本の歴史』, 講談社, 2000.
- ^ (a) Jean-Noël Biraben, "Le Point sur l'Histoire de la Population du Japon," Population Vol. 48 (no. 2), pp. 443-472 (1993). (b) Jean-Noël Biraben, "The History of the Human Population From the First Beginnings to the Present" in "Demography: Analysis and Synthesis: A Treatise in Population" (Eds: Graziella Caselli, Jacques Vallin, Guillaume J. Wunsch) Vol 3, Chapter 66, pp 5–18, Academic Press, San Diego, 2005.
- ^ (a) William Wayne Farris, "Japan's Medieval Population: Famine, Fertility, and Warfare in a Transformative Age," University of Hawaii's Press, Honolulu, 2006.(b) William Wayne Farris, "Daily life and demographics in ancient Japan", Michigan monograph series in Japanese studies no. 63, Center for Japanese Studies, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 2009.
- ^ A. Hayami, "Population trends in Tokugawa Japan: 1600-1868", IIS, 46e Session, Tokyo, 1987, p. 17.
- ^ Francine Hérail, "Histoire du Japon", Horvath, Le Coteau, 1990.
- ^ (a) Irene B. Taeuber, "The population of Japan", Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1958. (b) アイリーン・B・トイバー, 毎日新聞社人口問題調査会訳, 『日本の人口』, 毎日新聞社人口問題調査会, 1964
- ^ Ryoichi Ishii (石井了一), "Population Pressure and Economic Life in Japan", P. S. King & Son, 1937.
- ^ a b c 弘仁14年(823年)旧暦2月21日の太政官奏によると、大宰府管内口分田積は6万5677町とある。これに1町の口分田を支給されている戸口の平均人数7.5人と『和名類聚抄』記載の郷数比を乗じることで、西暦823年の全国人口を推定しているが、後述するように『和名類聚抄』記載の全国郷数は4041, 西海道の郷数は509であり、横山由清は計算間違いをしている。
- ^ a b (a) Shuzo Koyama, "Jomon Subsistence and Population", Senri Ethnological Studies no. 2, 1–65 (1978). (b) 小山修三, 『縄文時代』, 中央公論社, 1983. なお『縄文時代』では遺跡数に乗じる係数を、弥生時代57人、縄文時代中期以降24人、縄文時代早期8.5人と紹介しているが、実際の数値計算に合わせ、本文のように修正した。
- ^ 文化財保護委員会, 『全国遺跡地図: 史跡・名勝・天然記念物および埋蔵文化財包蔵地所在地地図』, 文化財保護委員会, 1965.
- ^ 小川修三, 「日本旧石器時代の食糧と人口」, 『民博通信』, 45号, pp.19–30 (1989).
- ^ a b 鎌田元一, 「日本古代の人口について」『木簡研究』, 第7号 (1984).
- ^ 岸俊男, 『古代宮都の探求』, 校倉書房, 1984.
- ^ 九条家本『延喜式』の紙背文書として残った『弘仁式』巻25(主税上)による。畿内・東海道諸国に関しては出挙稲数が、近江国に関しては主税・公廨が欠落しているため、澤田吾一は人口推定に用いていない。また筑前国に関しては国分寺料が不明であり、4万束と仮定して人口推定に用いている。
- ^ 『延喜式』巻26(主税上)による。なお写本によって出挙稲数が異なり、九条家本における出挙稲数の合計は、伊勢国72万6000束、出羽国97万3392束、播磨国122万1000束、安芸国63万2000束である。なお本表では束より下の桁(把、分)を省略するため、表の値を合算しても合計値より少なくなる場合がある。
- ^ 井上満郎, 『古代の三都を歩く 平安京の風景』, 文英堂, 1994.
- ^ a b c 彌永貞三, 「『拾芥抄』及び『海東諸国紀』にあらわれた諸国の田積史料に関する覚え書 ―中村栄考「海東諸国紀の撰修と印刷」の脚注として―」, 『日本古代社会経済史研究』, 岩波書店, pp. 351–387 (1980). なお鬼頭宏は尾張国の田積として『掌和歴』記載の1万1940町を採用し、志摩国と日向国の田積にはそれぞれ1000町、3000町を加算する操作を加えている。 また『拾芥抄』記載の田積の内、美濃国4万5304町は『色葉字類抄』により1万5304町に、信濃国4656石は前田本校訂により3万0520石に改訂するが、出羽国3万8628町5段については前田本校訂5万6088町に改訂しない。
- ^ a b ファリス(2006年)によると、(2000年)は日本の人口を1000年に600万人、1250年に650万人、1450年に1050万人、1600年に1700万人と推定している。
- ^ 吉田東伍, 『維新史八講』, 冨山房, 1910.
- ^ (a) 速水融, 「小倉藩人畜改帳の分析と徳川初期全国人口推計の試み」『三田學會雑誌』59巻 (3号), pp. 221–256 (1966). (b) 速水融, 『日本経済史への視角』, 東洋経済新報社, 1968.
- ^ (a) 速水融, 「近世信州諏訪地方の人口趨勢」『三田學會雑誌』61巻 (2号), pp. 111–137 (1968). (b) 速水融, 『近世農村の歴史人口学的研究』, 東洋経済新報社, 1973.
- ^ 藤野正三郎, 『日本の経済成長と景気循環』, 勁草書房, 2008.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j 地域区分は以下の通り。
- ^ a b 『弘仁式』が編纂された頃は、加賀国は越前国の一部であり、多禰国は大隅国から分離していた。
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m 地域区分は以下の通り。
- 北海道: 蝦夷。
- 東奥羽: 陸奥。
- 西奥羽: 出羽。
- 北関東: 上野、下野、常陸の合計。
- 南関東: 武蔵、相模、上総、下総、安房の合計。
- 北陸: 佐渡、越後、越中、能登、加賀、越前、若狭の合計。
- 東山: 甲斐、信濃、飛騨の合計。
- 東海: 伊豆、駿河、遠江、三河、尾張、美濃の合計。
- 畿内: 山城、大和、河内、和泉、摂津の合計。
- 畿内周辺: 近江、伊賀、伊勢、志摩、紀伊、淡路、播磨、丹波の合計。
- 山陰: 丹後、但馬、因幡、伯耆、隠岐、出雲、石見の合計。
- 山陽: 美作、備前、備中、備後、安芸、周防、長門の合計。
- 四国: 阿波、讃岐、伊予、土佐の合計。
- 北九州: 筑前、筑後、肥前、壱岐、対馬、豊前、豊後の合計。
- 南九州: 肥後、日向、大隅、薩摩の合計。
- ^ a b c William Wayne Farris, "Population, Disease, and Land in Early Japan, 645-900,", Harvard-Yenching Institute monograph series no. 24, Harverd University Press, Cambridge, 1985.
- ^ a b Kazumasa Kobayashi, "Trend in the length of life based on human skeleton from prehistoric to modern times in Japan," Journal of the Faculty of Science, University of Tokyo Sect. 5, Anthropology (東京大學理學部紀要 第5類, 人類學) Vol. 3 (no. 2), pp. 107–162 (1967).
- ^ Tomohito Nagaoka, Junmei Sawada and Kazuaki Hirata, "Did the Jomon people have a short lifespan? Evidence from the adult age-at-death estimation based on the auricular surface of the ilium," Anthropological Science Vol. 116 (no. 2), pp. 161-169, 2008.
- ^ a b c 菱沼従尹, 『寿命の限界をさぐる』, 東洋経済新報社, 1978.
- ^ a b Tomohito Nagaoka, Kazuaki Hirata, Emi Yokota and Shuji Matsu'ura, "Paleodemography of a Medieval Population in Japan: Analysis of Human Skeletal Remains from the Yuigahama-minami Site," American Journal of Physical Anthropology Vol. 131 (no. 1), pp. 1-14, 2006.
- ^ a b (a) 中橋孝博, 永井昌文, 「人骨」 『吉母浜遺跡』, pp. 154–225, 下関市教育委員会, 1985. (b) 中橋孝博, 永井昌文, 「寿命」 『弥生文化の研究 第1巻 弥生人とその環境』 (永井昌文, 那須孝悌, 金関恕, 佐原眞編), pp. 76–95, 雄山閣出版, 1989.
参考文献
- 澤田吾一、『奈良朝時代民政経済の数的研究』、冨山房、1927年。
- 高橋梵仙、『日本人口史之研究』、三友社、1941年。
- 高橋梵仙、『日本人口史之研究』、日本学術振興会、1955年
- 関山直太郎、『近世日本人口の研究』、龍吟社、1948年。
- 関山直太郎、『近世日本の人口構造』、吉川弘文館、1958年。
- 社会工学研究所編、『日本列島における人口分布の長期時系列的分析:時系列推計と要因分析』、社会工学研究所、1974年。
- 菱沼従尹、『寿命の限界をさぐる』、東洋経済新報社、1978年。
- 彌永貞三著、『日本古代社会経済史研究』、岩波書店、1980年。
- 小山修三、『縄文時代: コンピュータ考古学による復元』、中央公論社、1984年。
- 速水融監修、『国勢調査以前日本人口統計集成』、原書房、1992年。
- 鬼頭宏、『人口から読む日本の歴史』、講談社、2000年。
- 鬼頭宏、『図説 人口で見る日本史―縄文時代から近未来社会まで』、PHP研究所、2007年。
- 鎌田元一、『律令公民制の研究』、塙書房、2001年。
- William Wayne Farris, Japan's Medieval Population: Famine, Fertility, and Warfare in a Transformative Age, Honolulu, HI: University of Hawaii's Press, 2006.
- William Wayne Farris, Daily life and demographics in ancient Japan: Michigan monograph series in Japanese studies no. 63, Center for Japanese Studies, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 2009.
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